Home Buy A Break In AUD/NZD, Stay Long USD/JPY – BofA Merrill
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Buy A Break In AUD/NZD, Stay Long USD/JPY – BofA Merrill

As one month draws to a close and another one commences, it is time to look at the charts.

The team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch highlights two interesting patterns:

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

Across currencies, the USD continues to outperform, notes Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

In this environment, BofA is bearish AUD/USD and NZD/USD.

“However, we reiterate our view that AUD/USD downside should prove limited, with the confluence of support between 0.7378/0.7331 (14-year channel base and 10m channel base) likely to provide the building blocks for a long-term base and turn higher,” BofA argues.

“In contrast, NZD/USD has significant downside potential. While 0.7000/0.6955 should hold initially, long term, it could fall to the 200m avg. at 0.6588 and potentially as far as 0.5788/0.5631,” BofA adds.

AUDUSD renewed downside should prove limited for now June 2015

Given this backdrop, BofA reiterates its bullish AUD/NZD view.

“The impulsive advance from 1.0020 says that the long-term trend is turning bullish (ultimately targeting 1.3566). Dips are corrective and should be limited to 1.0566/1.0357. A break of intra-day channel resistance at 1.0750 says the correction is over and that the long-term uptrend is resuming. We would look to buy that break.,” BofA projects.

AUDNZD monthly chart cross is basing and long term bull trend beginning June 2015

Finally, BofA remains long and bullish USD/JPY.

“While 124.16/124.59 may provide initial resistance, we expect the zone to give way for a push toward 128.45. As such, we recommend staying long for continued gains through 124.59 to 128.45,” BofA advises.

USDJPY weekly chart break out to the upside June 2015 Merrill Lynch

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.