Comments on: Fed Decision – No Middle Ground http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/ Forex Trading with a Personal Touch Mon, 13 Feb 2012 02:17:33 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v= By: Money Is In For Gold | StockMarketInvestmentNews.com http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-21703 Money Is In For Gold | StockMarketInvestmentNews.com Thu, 28 Jan 2010 14:24:50 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-21703 [...] remember, last month, it took the markets six hours to digest the statement before moving. It was too confusing and many could not digest it [...] [...] remember, last month, it took the markets six hours to digest the statement before moving. It was too confusing and many could not digest it [...]

]]> By: Money Is In For Gold http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-21692 Money Is In For Gold Thu, 28 Jan 2010 09:12:50 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-21692 [...] remember, last month, it took the markets six hours to digest the statement before moving. It was too confusing and many could not digest it [...] [...] remember, last month, it took the markets six hours to digest the statement before moving. It was too confusing and many could not digest it [...]

]]> By: Forex Daily Outlook – January 27th 2010 | Forex Crunch http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-21659 Forex Daily Outlook – January 27th 2010 | Forex Crunch Wed, 27 Jan 2010 07:10:56 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-21659 [...] Last month, it took the markets 6 hours to digest the statement before moving. It sure was confusing. [...] [...] Last month, it took the markets 6 hours to digest the statement before moving. It sure was confusing. [...]

]]> By: Fed Found a Third Way – Markets Back to Normal | Forex Crunch http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-18488 Fed Found a Third Way – Markets Back to Normal | Forex Crunch Wed, 16 Dec 2009 22:47:26 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-18488 [...] the preview before the FOMC meeting, I wrote that there’s no middle ground – that he’ll either leave the [...] [...] the preview before the FOMC meeting, I wrote that there’s no middle ground – that he’ll either leave the [...]

]]> By: Forex Daily Outlook – December 17th 2009 | Forex Crunch http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-18483 Forex Daily Outlook – December 17th 2009 | Forex Crunch Wed, 16 Dec 2009 22:03:42 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-18483 [...] goes on after the FOMC Statement. Today’s highlights are British retail sales, Canadian CPI and American jobless claims. [...] [...] goes on after the FOMC Statement. Today’s highlights are British retail sales, Canadian CPI and American jobless claims. [...]

]]> By: Fed Decision – No Middle Ground | Forex Crunch | credit crunch smile.com http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-18464 Fed Decision – No Middle Ground | Forex Crunch | credit crunch smile.com Wed, 16 Dec 2009 12:29:54 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-18464 [...] Visit link: Fed Decision – No Middle Ground | Forex Crunch [...] [...] Visit link: Fed Decision – No Middle Ground | Forex Crunch [...]

]]> By: British Employment Improves Again – Pound Unexcited | Forex Crunch http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-18457 British Employment Improves Again – Pound Unexcited | Forex Crunch Wed, 16 Dec 2009 09:51:14 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-18457 [...] The markets are waiting for the Fed decision this evening. This is a crucial rate decision this time, as there is no consensus on the outcome. No result can fall within expectations. Here’s my preview for the FOMC Meeting. [...] [...] The markets are waiting for the Fed decision this evening. This is a crucial rate decision this time, as there is no consensus on the outcome. No result can fall within expectations. Here’s my preview for the FOMC Meeting. [...]

]]> By: Yohay http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-18454 Yohay Wed, 16 Dec 2009 09:31:19 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-18454 Thank you very much for your insightful comment! Thank you very much for your insightful comment!

]]> By: Matt http://www.forexcrunch.com/fed-decision-no-middle-ground/comment-page-1/#comment-18432 Matt Wed, 16 Dec 2009 01:35:25 +0000 http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=4693#comment-18432 Nice concise synopsis Yohay. If this is about trying to read the Fed and Bernanke's intentions and here's my version; Bernanke is still spinning the story [albeit less and less true] that the recovery is fragile and should be fostered with care. In light of this, I think he will be wary to send any major messages for fear of igniting the markets - because as we all know, if he does change the wording the US dollar is going to go crazy. But I don't think Ben wants this and thus will rather copy-past the wording to keep the US lower to promote exports and recovery. I suspect this may be the case, and he may offer a mild acknowledgement of improving conditions or mention unwinding the QE but leave the wording the same. It's this play where Bernanke talks it down and promotes calm whilst the market reacts to the numbers. This can't last, but I don't think it will resolve due to Ben's words this time. Not yet, anyway. I'm tipping a very mild mention of improving US data or a hint of QE unwinding - but I'm sure not betting against the buck! Nice concise synopsis Yohay.

If this is about trying to read the Fed and Bernanke’s intentions and here’s my version;

Bernanke is still spinning the story [albeit less and less true] that the recovery is fragile and should be fostered with care. In light of this, I think he will be wary to send any major messages for fear of igniting the markets – because as we all know, if he does change the wording the US dollar is going to go crazy.

But I don’t think Ben wants this and thus will rather copy-past the wording to keep the US lower to promote exports and recovery. I suspect this may be the case, and he may offer a mild acknowledgement of improving conditions or mention unwinding the QE but leave the wording the same. It’s this play where Bernanke talks it down and promotes calm whilst the market reacts to the numbers. This can’t last, but I don’t think it will resolve due to Ben’s words this time. Not yet, anyway. I’m tipping a very mild mention of improving US data or a hint of QE unwinding – but I’m sure not betting against the buck!

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