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Forex Analysis: USD/JPY Drifts Further Down to Key Support

2013-10-03-USDJPY

October 3, 2013 – USD/JPY (daily chart) has continued its gradual drift to the downside within a sideways trading range that the pair has been entrenched in for the past three months. The current mild bearishness has brought the pair down to approach key support around the 97.00 level and, in the process, recently began a dip below the 200-day moving average for the first time since November 2012.

This dip is significant because the 200-day moving average has served as major support for USD/JPY during the past several months. A breakdown below the noted 97.00 support level would confirm the significance of this price cross below the moving average, and could then look to target further downside support objectives around 95.00 and 92.00. In the event of a breakout above the short-term descending trend line extending back to September’s 100.60 high, upside objectives reside around the key 100.00 psychological level and then 103.00.

James Chen, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist
City Index Group

 

Forex trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. This information is being provided only for general market commentary and does not constitute investment trading advice. These materials are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial instrument and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

James Chen

James Chen

James Chen is Chief Technical Strategist for City Index Group. He is also a Chartered Market Technician. He is the author of the books: "Essentials of Foreign Exchange Trading" (John Wiley & Sons, 2009) and "Essentials of Technical Analysis for Financial Markets" (John Wiley & Sons, 2010). Mr. Chen writes currency analysis, leads forex trading seminars and has appeared in numerous major financial media outlets, including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Forbes, Reuters, Dow Jones, and the Associated Press.