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	<title>Forex Crunch &#187; Monetary Policy Meeting</title>
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		<title>Forex Daily Outlook &#8211; November 17th 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.forexcrunch.com/forex-daily-outlook-november-17th-2009/</link>
		<comments>http://www.forexcrunch.com/forex-daily-outlook-november-17th-2009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 07:40:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Yohay</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Forex Forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BOE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BOE Inflation Letter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Capacity Utilization Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Core CPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Core PPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EUR/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GBP/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Guy Debelle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Industrial Production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jean-Pierre Roth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mervyn King]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary Policy Meeting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Retail Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SNB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TIC Long-Term Purchases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade balance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD/CHF]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.forexcrunch.com/?p=3859</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After Bernanke&#8217;s words and retails sales didn&#8217;t do much to the markets, today&#8217;s British CPI and American PPI stand out in quite a busy day. Let&#8217;s see what&#8217;s up for today:
Australia&#8217;s Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes didn&#8217;t send a clear message about future rate hikes. AUD/USD remains in the same trading zone as yesterday &#8211; around [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>After Bernanke&#8217;s words and retails sales didn&#8217;t do much to the markets, today&#8217;s British CPI and American PPI stand out in quite a busy day. Let&#8217;s see what&#8217;s up for today:</strong></p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes didn&#8217;t send a clear message about future rate hikes. AUD/USD remains in the same trading zone as yesterday &#8211; around 0.9350. For more on the Aussie, read the <strong><a href="http://www.forexcrunch.com/aud-usd-outlook-november-16-20/">AUD/USD forecast</a></strong>.<span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><br />
</span></p>
<p>A video from a partner:</p>
<p><img style="border:0" src="http://www.affiliateply.com/affiliatevideo/scripts/imp.php?a_aid=4af7ec479087d&amp;a_bid=e3166e6b" alt="" width="1" height="1" /><img src="http://events.plymedia.com/Events/Post/affiliateply/Referral/00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000000/cbfa244e-75be-4b4f-9294-daebbf98ed2f/AffiliateEasyForex/0.0/0.0/pix.gif" alt="" width="1" height="1" /><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="410" height="240" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="flashvars" value="file=http://static.plymedia.com/affiliates/easyforex/videos/easyforex_daily.flv&amp;image=http://static.plymedia.com/affiliates/easyforex/videos/easyforex_daily.jpg&amp;linkfromdisplay=true&amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.affiliateply.com%2Faffiliatevideo%2Fscripts%2Fclick.php%3Fa_aid%3D4af7ec479087d%26a_bid%3De3166e6b" /><param name="src" value="http://content.plymedia.com/players/affiliateply/player" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="410" height="240" src="http://content.plymedia.com/players/affiliateply/player" flashvars="file=http://static.plymedia.com/affiliates/easyforex/videos/easyforex_daily.flv&amp;image=http://static.plymedia.com/affiliates/easyforex/videos/easyforex_daily.jpg&amp;linkfromdisplay=true&amp;link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.affiliateply.com%2Faffiliatevideo%2Fscripts%2Fclick.php%3Fa_aid%3D4af7ec479087d%26a_bid%3De3166e6b" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
<p><span id="more-3859"></span>In Switzerland, Retail Sales are expected to rise by 1.1% after falling by 1% last month. Later, SNB Governing Board Chairman Jean-Pierre Roth will be speaking. USD/CHF is now at 1.0080.</p>
<p>British CPI is expected to rise by 1.4% (annualized). This will be higher than last month&#8217;s 1.1% rise, which touches the limit of the expected range: 1-3%. Core CPI is expected to rise by 1.7%, exactly like last month, and RPI (Retail Price Index) which shows the negative side of prices, is expected to fall once again, this time by 0.9% after a 1.4% drop last month.</p>
<p>If CPI fails to meet the target, Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, will have to issue a letter explaining the reasons for this, and especially stating what things he intends to do.</p>
<p>GBP/USD is now trading higher, at 1.6852. For more on the Pound, read the <strong><a href="http://www.forexcrunch.com/gbp-usd-forecast-november-16-20-2009/">GBP/USD forecast</a></strong>.</p>
<p>European Trade Balance is expected to turn negative, with a small deficit of 0.9 billion. EUR/USD is now at 1.4970. <strong><a href="http://www.winnersedgetrading.com/trade-of-the-day/eur-usd-is-officially-in-a-range">Casey Stubbs shows</a></strong> that EUR/USD is now officially in a range.</p>
<p>For more on the Euro&#8217;s week, read the <strong><a href="http://www.forexcrunch.com/eur-usd-forecast-november-16-20/">EUR/USD Forecast</a></strong>.</p>
<p>In the US, PPI is predicted to rise by 0.6%, after a drop of the same scale last month. Only a big jump will move Bernanke out of the &#8220;extended period&#8221; of low rates. Core PPI is also expected to remain low, rising 0.1% after a 0.1% drop last month.</p>
<p>Another major American release is <strong>TIC Long-Term Purchases</strong>, which shows the cash flow of dollars. It&#8217;s predicted to drop from 28.6 to 27.3 billion, and is expected to move the markets at 14:00 GMT.</p>
<p>Later in the US, Capacity Utilization Rate is predicted to rise from 70.5% to 70.9%, and Industrial Production is expected to rise by 0.4%, less than last month.</p>
<p>Towards the end of the day, a speech from RBA Assistant Governor Guy Debelle is due, and might move the Aussie.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s it for today. Happy forex trading!</p>
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