Forex Daily Outlook – March 11th 2010
The calendar is crowded today with major releases: Australian jobs, a rate decision in Switzerland and important figures in the US are the highlights today. Let’s see what’s up.
As seen in the Non-Farm Payrolls and also beforehand, the commodity currencies continue to show strength while the Euro and the Pound are weak. This will probably continue, although the Euro seems to be stabilizing.
After making a move upwards, Australia provides a strong start for the day. MI Inflation Expectations provide a warm up hinting about inflation. The main course is the employment data: Australia’s Employment Change is expected to show a gain of 15.3K jobs and the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain stable at 5.3%.
Note that these figures were better than expected for four straight months. The expectations were modest, like this time, and the result was better. Will it happen again? For the Aussie’s technical levels, check out the AUD/USD forecast.
In Europe, France begins the day with the release of the final Non-Farm Payrolls for Q4. The drop of 0.4% is expected to be confirmed. Later in Europe, the ECB Monthly Bulletin will provide an indicator about the whole region.
The Euro’s technical situation is stabilizing. Will it rise? Check out more on the Euro in the EUR/USD forecast, and in Casey Stubbs’ latest analysis.
British Consumer Inflation Expectations are expected to rise, as the inflation rises in Britain. The Pound is sliding down once again, after another credit warning from Fitch.
The Pound’s greater limits remain 1.4770 and 1.5350. It sticks to this range at the moment. Read more in the GBP/USD forecast.
In Switzerland, the central bank will announce a new interest rate. The SNB will probably leave the Libor Rate unchanged at 0.25%. The wording of the SNB Monetary Policy Assessment will shake the Swissy for sure. What’s never sure is the actions of the bank. At the same time last year, they intervened immediately after the rate decision. While these interventions are short-lived, they can throw traders out of their positions.
Moving to North America, Canada’s Trade Balance is expected to shift from a deficit to a surplus of 0.4 billion. The American Trade Balance will be released at the same time and will probably show the same deficit as last month – 40.2 billion.
At the same time, 13:30 GMT, American Unemployment Claims are released. They’re expected to drop from 469K to 453K, still within the same range as in recent weeks. This is the first jobless claims release after the NFP, and it will probably move the markets.
Canadian events aren’t over: the NHPI (New Housing Price Index) is predicted to rise by 0.5%, similar to the previous month. Later in Canada, BOC governor Mark Carney will make a public appearance and can also move the loonie.
USD/CAD is struggling to break below 1.02. This 2009 low is a tough and critical spot. For more on the Canadian dollar, read the USD/CAD forecast.
In New Zealand, the day after the rate decision brings another significant release: retail sales. After remaining unchanged last month, they’re expected to rise by 0.3% this time.
That’s it for today. Happy forex trading!
Want to see what other traders are doing in real accounts? Check out Currensee. It’s free.
Forex Daily Outlook – February 26th 2010
The week ends with two revised GDP figures in Britain and in the US, as well as other moving figures. Let’s see what’s awaiting us today.
Early in the day, British GfK Consumer Confidence isn’t expected to move from the negative score of -17. This will stop months of slow improvement. Nationwide HPI is an important housing [...]
Forex Daily Outlook – February 18th 2010
Yet another busy day expects traders: a rate decision in Japan, American PPI, and American jobless claims stand out. There are many other events as well.
The Greek crisis is fading away. EUR/USD isn’t the only pair to enjoy this. Also commodity currencies are on the rise, enjoying risk appetite trading. There are no releases today [...]
Forex Daily Outlook – February 15th 2010
The week starts with a strong note, with Japanese GDP. And there are a few more events to watch out for. Here’s the daily outlook.
EUR/USD made a swing move downwards on Friday but closed above 1.3580. Where will it go this week? Check out my EUR/USD forecast for the events that will move the Euro, [...]
EUR/CHF – Wild Fridays – Courtesy of the Bank
The Swiss central bank has increased its interventions in the markets in an attempt to weaken the Swiss Franc. The moves are seen best against the Euro. Here is how it looks on the graph + a few characteristics of these moves.
Click to enlarge. Remember that interventions are short lived.
Forex Daily Forecast – November 30 2009
The new forex trading week starts off with the Dubai crisis still looming. Canadian GDP, and European inflation will stand out in day with events from all over the world. Let’s see what’s up for the last day of November.
Arabic version of this post
In New Zealand, Building Consents are expected to continue rising after a [...]
Parity Party for the Swissy
The Swiss Franc has reached parity with the US dollar. Apart from the general weakness of the greenback across the board, also the Swiss National Bank has a role in bringing USD/CHF to 1.
USD/CHF reached a year-to-date low of 0.9960 and trades now at a perfect 1.0000. The pair last reached this rate in April [...]
Popular Forex Posts
Daily FX Headlines- Forex Weekly Trading Forecast - 03.15.10 March 13, 2010
- Dollar Threatens a Plunge but Fundamentals Could Prevent a Renewed Bear Trend March 13, 2010
- Price Action Points to a Bullish Breakout but Market Fundamentals May Force a Collapse March 13, 2010
- Has Crude Taken the First Step Towards a Breakout and Reversal? March 13, 2010
- Swiss Franc Vulnerable As SNB Threat Grows March 13, 2010
Stay up to date!
-
-
