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Atlanta Fed: GDPNow estimate for real GDP growth in Q3 falls to 3.6% from 3.9%

“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2018 is 3.6 percent on October 25, down from 3.9 percent on October 17,” the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta reported on Thursday.

Key quotes

“The nowcast of third-quarter real residential investment growth fell from -1.6 percent to -4.1 percent after housing market reports from the National Association of Realtors and the U.S. Census Bureau.”

“An increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real nonresidential equipment investment growth from 2.7 percent to 3.8 percent was more than offset by declines in the nowcasts of the contributions of net exports and inventory investment to third-quarter real GDP growth from -1.11 percentage points and 2.20 percentage points, respectively, to -1.24 percentage points and 2.08 percentage points, respectively, after this morning’s advance reports on durable manufacturing, international trade, and inventories from the Census Bureau.”

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