- The AUD/JPY pair has breached the falling trendline, having carved out a bullish divergence of the relative strength index (RSI) over the last couple of days, the hourly chart indicates
- The 4-hour also shows a bullish RSI divergence.
- The AUD/JPY will likely rise to 80.18 in a few minutes, signaling a completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders bullish reversal pattern. A break above that level would open up upside toward 80.60.
- A better-than-expected National Australia Bank’s business confidence and business conditions index released a few minutes ago is also positive for the AUD/JPY.
- On the downside, a move below 79.76 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Hourly Chart
Spot Rate: 80.01
Daily High: 80.16
Daily Low: 79.87
Trend: Bullish
R1: 80.16 (session high)
R2: 80.45 (5-day exponential moving average)
R3: 80.82 (10-day exponential moving average)
Support
S1: 79.76 (previous day’s low)
S2: 79.59 (76.4% Fib R of 78.68/82.51)
S3: 79.52 (Sept. 3 low)