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AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Eyes head-and-shoulders neckline support

  • AUD/NZD charts head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart.
  • Daily chart indicators favor a drop to the neckline support. 

AUD/NZD is reporting marginal gains at press time amid signs of bearish exhaustion on the 4-hour chart. The daily chart, however, remains biased in favor of the bears.

The pair is currently trading at 1.0623, up 0.10% on the day. The consecutive Doji candles on the 4-hour chart suggest a temporary weakening of bearish pressures. As such, a stronger bounce cannot be ruled out. 

However, with the 14-day relative strength index hovering in bearish territory below 50 and the 5- and 10-day simple moving averages trending south, the upside looks limited and could end up recharging engines for a drop toward support at 1.0586. That level is housing the neckline support of the head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern seen on the daily chart. 

A daily close under 1.0586 would confirm the H&S breakdown and open the doors to 1.03 (target as per the measured move method). 

Meanwhile, a close above Friday’s high of 1.0670 is needed to invalidate the immediate bearish outlook. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Pivot points

 

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