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  • AUD/USD is likely tracking the S&P 500 futures higher. 
  • A positive daily close would confirm a bull divergence of the RSI.

The buying interest around the Australian currency is gathering pace with signs of a positive turnaround in the US equity index futures. 

The AUD/USD pair has added over 20 pips in the last hour or so and is now trading at a session high of 0.6705, representing a 0.50% gain on the day. 

The pair is likely tracking the S&P 500 futures, which are currently reporting 0.20% gains, having gapped lower by 0.5% in early Asia. 

While the risk reset is helping the AUD at press time, big gains may remain elusive if the European desks put a bid under the greenback in response to Friday’s US Nonfarm payrolls data. 

That said, if the pair manages to end Monday on a positive note, a bullish divergence of the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) would be confirmed. 

A bullish divergence is considered an advanced warning of a bearish-to-bullish trend change. A stronger confirmation of trend change, however, would be a daily close above the lower high of 0.6774 created on Feb. 5. 

Daily chart

Trend: Teasing bull divergence

Technical levels