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AUD/USD struggles below mid-0.7100s amid caution over US-China trade talks

   “¢   Renewed uncertainty over US-China trade negotiations weighs on Aussie.
   “¢   Disappointing Chinese manufacturing PMI adds to the selling pressure.
   “¢   Subdued USD demand helped limit the downside ahead of US macro data.

The AUD/USD pair faded an early Asian spike to a session high level of 0.7166 and is currently placed at the lower end of its daily trading range.

Against the backdrop of Wednesday’s not so optimistic trade-related comments by the US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, the pair was further weighed down by today’s weaker than expected Chinese manufacturing PMI print for February.  

In his testimony to House Ways and Means Committee on Wednesday, Lighthizer said that it was too early to predict an outcome in U.S.-China trade negotiation and exerted some fresh downward pressure on the China-proxy Australian Dollar.

Meanwhile, dismal Chinese manufacturing data provided further evidence that US-Sino trade dispute was taking a toll on the global economic growth, which along with escalating geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan further collaborated towards driving flows away from perceived riskier currencies – like the Aussie.

A fresh wave of global risk-aversion trade was evident from a sharp fall in the US Treasury bond yields, which failed to assist the US Dollar to build on the overnight bounce from three-week lows and helped limit deeper losses, at least for the time being.  

It, however, remains to be seen if the pair is able to attract any buying interest or continues with its lacklustre trading action as the focus now shifts to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of advance US Q4 GDP growth figures.  

This coupled with the release of the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation – core PCE, and other second-tier US economic data might influence the USD price dynamics and further collaborate towards producing some meaningful trading opportunities later during the early North-American session.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  0.7142
       Today Daily change %:  0.06%
       Today Daily Open:  0.7138
Trends:
       Daily SMA20:  0.7149
       Daily SMA50:  0.7133
       Daily SMA100:  0.7165
       Daily SMA200:  0.7257
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  0.7199
       Previous Daily Low:  0.7127
       Previous Weekly High:  0.7207
       Previous Weekly Low:  0.707
       Previous Monthly High:  0.7296
       Previous Monthly Low:  0.6684
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  0.7155
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  0.7172
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  0.711
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  0.7083
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  0.7039
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  0.7182
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  0.7226
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  0.7254

 

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