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Florida is a do-or-die state for Trump this year, as it was in 2016 and the volatility of the results will be a driver for markets.

76% of the vote is now in for Florida with the votes counted very quickly.

For now, it is seen as 50.4% for Trump and Biden at 48.7%.

The NY Times, however, is giving the result as 93% Trump probability of winning the state.

At a closer look, Trump has already banked an additional 125K votes in Miami Dade from his 2016 performance which is buying him a good-sized leeway in Hillsborough/Pinellas where he may underperform.

DXY under pressure

Despite the prospects of a tight race, the US dollar is under pressure: