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  • Chiliz price trading steadily along the 21-day simple moving average (SMA).
  • Descending channel breakout on March 27 lacked conviction from the bulls.
  • Notable downside awaits if the current price range does not hold.

Chiliz price locked in an incredible month with a 1700% gain by March 12. Over the second half of the month, the altcoin has corrected 52% at the most recent low. It is a reminder that trafficking in cryptocurrencies requires a unique discipline and clear profit targets based on historical precedent analysis. Nevertheless, it can be argued that CHZ is not out of the woods, and the pause in the decline could be fragile if renewed selling hits the broader market.

Chiliz price not responding to bullish technical catalyst

From the March 12 high until March 27, CHZ declined within a descending channel, with price holding the midline most of the time. Since the channel’s breakout on March 27, the cryptocurrency has not captured buyers’ interest. Instead, it has simply drifted along the 21-day SMA on meager volume. As a result, the price action has not reconciled the near-term outlook and keeps the risk tilted to the downside.

As mentioned above, the 21-day SMA is in play at $0.523, and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level of the March rally strengthens the price area, as it rests just below $0.464. After that, the 50-day SMA is at $0.225, representing an enormous decline of 50% from today’s price unless the 0.382 retracement level at $0.304 can halt the slide.

CHZ/USD daily chart

CHZ/USD daily chart

The bullish spirits may return on a daily close above $0.559, opening the path to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.693. The retracement level corresponds closely to the March 15 high at $0.700 and the March 19 high at $0.712 and will prove to be a defiant resistance level.