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Dead cat bounces do not bode well for EUR/USD

After the EUR/USD plunged below 1.2000, it seems to be attempting a comeback. Will it succeed? The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the pair faces a dense cluster of resistance lines on the way up. The  1.2010  level is the confluence of the Bolinger Band 15 minute Middle, the BB one-hour Middle, the Simple Moving Average-5-1hv, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, and more.

If a recovery pushes through this congestion area, the  1.2060  region is already packed with more substantial resistance levels: the SMA50-1h, the one-month low, the one-week low, the Pivot Point one-day R1, and more.

On the downside, the  1.1950  area is the confluence level of the Pivot Point one-day S1 and the Pivot Point one-month S1. Even lower,  1.1920  is the PP one-day S2.

All in all, there is more upside resistance than downside support.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence chart May 2 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. This means that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.