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  • Once again USD sentiment remains week as traders start to price in deeper rate cuts.
  • On the charts, the price has stalled at a Fib level from the weekly chart.

Dollar Index Daily Chart

The daily chart below shows the extent of the capitulation in the Dollar Index.

The price seems to have found some support at 97.25, this level we speak about more in the weekly chart section.

The level has been pretty useful in the past with at least 6 bounces on the chart below.

The interesting thing about this chart is the fact there has been no lower high and the price has fallen soo quickly.

The relative strength index (RSI) is also in a very oversold area and this could indicate a short term retracement is in order.

Dollar index

Dollar Index Weekly Chart

On the weekly charts, things look a lot less dramatic. The price is not near the bottom of the consolidation range just yet.

The key support is at 96.35 which is the previous wave low. 

At the moment this chart highlights the fact that the 38.2% Fibonacci level has provided some support in the near term (97.25).

For me, the biggest support zone on the chart is at 95.00. It might take some time to get there but the level does look pretty strong.

As the futures market prices in more rate cuts from the Fed and the ECB members keep stating that the coronavirus needs more of a government fiscal response, the DXY could be in for more pain.

Shorter-term we must remember the price is at very oversold levels and this could lead to a retracement.

Dollar index weekly

Additional Levels