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  • EUR/GBP stages a modest bounce on Monday to test an ascending channel support breakpoint.
  • The formation of a bearish head and shoulders seems to have shifted the bias in favour of bears.
  • A convincing breakthrough the 0.8865 horizontal support zone will reinforce the bearish set-up.
  • Only a sustained move back above the 0.9900 round-figure mark will negate the negative bias.

The EUR/GBP cross reversed an early dip to the 0.8880 region and jumped to fresh daily tops during the early European session. The cross was last seen trading near a short-term ascending trend-channel support breakpoint, now turned resistance around the 0.8910 region.

Meanwhile, Friday’s break below the mentioned channel comes on the back of a bearish head and shoulders pattern formation on the 4-hourly chart. The bearish set-up is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on hourly charts are holding in the negative territory.

However, oscillators on the daily chart are yet to confirm the bearish bias and warrant some caution. This makes it prudent to wait for a sustained break below a previous strong horizontal resistance breakpoint, now turned support near the 0.8865 region before placing fresh bearish bets.

Below the mentioned support the cross is likely to accelerate the fall towards the 0.8815-10 area with some intermediate support near the 0.8835 level. The downward trajectory could further get extended below the 0.8800 mark, towards the next major support near the 0.8760 region.

On the flip side, any subsequent move up is likely to confront a stiff resistance near the 0.8835-40 region, above which the cross might aim to reclaim the key 0.9000 psychological mark. A sustained strength beyond the mentioned level is needed to negate any near-term bearish bias.

EUR/GBP 4-hourly chart


Technical levels to watch


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