- EUR/JPY seems to have carved out a bear flag on the 8-hour chart.
- A break below 122.65 would confirm a bear flag breakdown.
EUR/JPY is on the defensive and could soon drop to the bear flag support of 122.65, courtesy of risk aversion and increased demand for the anti-risk Japanese Yen.
Acceptance below 122.65 would confirm a bear flag breakdown – a continuation pattern which often accelerates the preceding bearish move. So, a flag breakdown, if confirmed, could yield a sell-off to levels below 112.00.
Supporting the bearish case is the below-50 print on the 14-day relative strength index (RSI).
The outlook, however, would turn bullish if the cross rises above 123.08, validating the positive crossover the 5- and 10-day moving averages (MAs) confirmed earlier this week.
8-hour chart
Trend: Bearish below 122.65
Pivot points