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EUR/USD ate the low hanging fruit, moving higher from here is hard

The  EUR/USD  rallied on Trump’s comments about low interest rates. Can it continue moving higher? The pair now faces substantial resistance.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the pair will initially need to win over the  1.1655  level. This is the convergence of the Bolinger Band 4h-Middle, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

A move higher will face a congestion of resistance levels at the  1.1683  area where we see the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the one-day high, the Simple Moving Average 50-4h, the SMA 200-4h, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1.

Another run higher may send the pair to  1.1724  where we see the confluence of the Fibonacci 61.8% on both the monthly and weekly scopes meet the Bolinger Band 4h-Upper.

Looking down, the pair has some support at  1.1641  which is the Bolinger Band 15m-Lower, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month.

However, a slide may find only minor support levels below this point. A considerable cushion is available only at  1.1514  which is where the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day, the Pivot Point one-month Support 1, the Pivot Point one-week S2 and the 2018 low converge.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD confluence technical levels July 20 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.