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EUR/USD can still react to Draghi as bears are in control

EUR/USD  remains in the same old range after Draghi’s dovish twist, but the technical picture has turned against it.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that euro/dollar faces an uphill battle around  1.1367with the Bollinger Band 1h-Middle, the Simple Moving Average 100-1h, the SMA 5-4h, the SMA 100-15m, the SMA 200-4h, the BB one-day-Middle, the BB 15 min Upper, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the SMA 10-15m, and quite a few additional technical lines.

If the pair manages to overcome that hurdle, it faces fierce resistance at  1.1400  which is the confluence of the potent Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the previous one-day high, the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, and the BB 4h-Upper.

Looking down, EUR/USD has some support at  1.1314  where we see the previous weekly low and the Bollinger Band 4h-Lower.

More significant support is only at  1.1272  which is the meeting point of the Pivot Point one-week Support 2, and the PP one-week Support 3.

All in all, the path of least is resistance is to the downside.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence lines December 14 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.