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EUR/USD has an easier path down amid a strong cap

The EUR/USD reached the $1.1760 target discussed yesterday and bounced. However, an extended recovery will be very hard from here, and it will be easier to fall.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows a dense cluster of resistance lines around $1.1822. This is the convergence of the Bolinger Band 15m-Middle, the Simple Moving Average 5-15m, the SMA 10-4h, the SMA 10-1h, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, the SMA 5-1h, and the Pivot Point one-month Support 2. The concentration of such potent lines means the pair will find it very hard to move higher.

On the other side, congestion of support lines awaits around $1.1767. This is the meeting point of the Pivot Point one-day Support 1, the one-day High, and the PP one-week Support 2. Further down, the pair faces some scattered levels of support just above $1.1700, but no substantial clusters.

On the topside, the next resistance is at $1.1860, which is the convergence of the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, the one-day high, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week. Additional lines of resistance are seen around $1.1900, and these are considerably stronger levels.

As in previous  days, the pair faces much more resistance than support.  

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD Technical confluence levels May 17 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.