Home EUR/USD path of least resistance is down ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls, Powell – Confluence Detector
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EUR/USD path of least resistance is down ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls, Powell – Confluence Detector

EUR/USD  has been retreating from the high levels it reached as US yields boosted the dollar. How is EUR/USD positioned ahead of the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls and the speech by Jerome Powell?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  is showing that EUR/USD is struggling around 1.1042, which is a dense cluster of lines including the Simple Moving Average 515m, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the Bollinger Band 15min-Upper, the BB 1h-Middle, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the SMA 10-1h, the SMA 10-15m, the SMA 10-4h, and the SMA 10-1d.  

Looking up, robust resistance awaits at 1.1078, which is the convergence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1.  

Further above, there are additional confluences of resistance, with 1.1141 standing out, where the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month and the PP 1d-R3 meet.

Looking down, some support awaits at 1.1008, where we see the PP 1d-S1 and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week converge.  

The downside target is 1.0963, which is the confluence of the BB 1d-Lower and the previous monthly low.

All in all, resistance lines are stronger than support lines.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD September 6 2019 technical confluence

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

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