EUR/USD: Tactically Bearish For A Retest Of 1.10 & 1.09 Near-Term – MUFG


EUR/USD is trying to recover after falling to the lowest levels since June 2017. But it still remains under pressure.

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

MUFG Research discusses EUR/USD outlook and adopts a tactical bearish bias, expecting the pair to trade with a downward direction in 1.1300-1.0900 range in the near-term.

“The euro has finally broken to out to the downside of the recent trading range between 1.1200 and 1.1400. It opens the door to a retest of the 1.1000-level, and even potentially as low as 1.0900 in the near-term. The continued weak performance of the euro-zone economy has finally played a role in encouraging an even weaker euro/stronger US dollar,” MUFG notes.

Selling pressure on the euro could even intensify in the week ahead if Italy is downgraded by S&P, and/or President Trump announces that he has decided to raise tariffs on imports of autos. On the other hand, the US data flow should confirm that growth is slowing but to a lesser extent than overseas. The Fed should remain comfortably on hold unless they begin to express more concern over “subdued” inflation. It is unlikely at the upcoming FOMC meeting,” MUFG adds.

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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