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EURNZD Looking Bearish – Elliott wave analysis

EURNZD made a big, overlapping drop from 1.993 high, suggesting that trend is changing to bearish, for a minimum three-wave move. We see a completed Elliott wave leading diagonal in wave A)/1) at 1.765 level, from where price started rallying on lower degree time frames. Ideally an A-B-C correction of wave B)/2) is underway and can face first potential resistance and reversal zone at 1.85 level (Fib. ratio of 38.2), however because price unfolded an Elliott wave leading diagonal in the first leg, then resistance for the unfolding correction can still be reached at 1.914 level (Fib. ratio of 61.8). In any case, further weakness, for a third wave of a decline from the highs at 1.993 level is still expected once current correction fully develops.

EURNZD, daily

On lower degree time frame chart, we see price in a sharp, however corrective a-b-c move for wave B, which is now approaching possible support at Fib. Ratio of 61.8 (1.788 level), and area of a former wave iv) at 1.787 level, which can also react as good support for the bigger, unfolding correction. That said, a rally in five waves of a lesser degree, and above 1.803 level would be bullish for price.  

EURNZD, 1h

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega Horvat Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At Ew-forecast he helps clients and educates them about the Elliott wave principle and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty, however, is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators. EW-Forecast To be involved in the market effectively, you need the right guidance and resources, and our team can help you to achieve that. Our team is providing advanced informations about Elliott Wave theory in real time. The Elliott Wave Principle gives you a method for identifying the behavior of the markets and at what points the market is most likely to turn. We help new traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our views as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power!