Eurozone: Flash core CPI to pick up slightly in February – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities (TDS) offer a sneak peek at what to expect from Tuesday’s Eurozone Preliminary Inflation report.

Key quotes:

“We expect the flash core euro area CPI for February to pick up a touch to 1.2% y/y (mkt: 1.2%), while the drop in crude oil prices should see headline HICP slip to 1.2% y/y (mkt: 1.2%).

This would leave inflation on track to come in a bit firmer than the ECB forecasted for Q1 in its December staff forecasts, and should be of some comfort after a long series of downside surprises.”