EURUSD fell sharply lower in the last few weeks with an accelerating price action confirming a continuation of a downtrend. We see a huge possibility for wave (3) in progress that is part of a big five wave move within wave V that began unfolding at the end of September, away from 1.1700. Based on current very strong bearish momentum, we may see an extension towards 1.0400 this year, where we see Fibonacci projected levels for wave (3). As long as price trades stays beneath 1.1082, the trend is down.
EURUSD, Daily
On the lower time frame, EURUSD is at the lows but it’s moving very slowly so we think that a price action is in wave 5) of an extended blue wave (3). However, there is room for a move down to the 1.0480-1.0500 area before we may see a bounce. Ideally, market will recover at the start of December with three waves if we consider that wave 5) can be an ending diagonal which suggests that the current bearish leg is nearing completion.
EURUSD, 4H