Forex Daily Outlook – April 30 2010
Daily Look

Forex Daily Outlook – April 30 2010

Moderate changes in the major indexes are foreseen in the U.S. and European markets. The GDP and Employment Cost Index in the U.S. open today’s report. Let’s see what awaits us today.

In the US, Advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP), is the earliest GDP release, measuring the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy, giving us a glimpse into the state of the U.S. economy, is expected to drop from 5.6% to 3.4% while the Advance GDP Price Index, measuring annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP is expected to rise from 0.5% to 0.9% and might increase interest rates.

Later in the US, Employment Cost Index released quarterly, show a small expected increase form 0.5% to 0.6% in labor costs indicating consumer inflation.

More from the US, Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index, measuring the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the Chicago area, is expected a welcome rise of 1.2 points from 58.8 to 60 points indicating a healthy expansion in the market and Federal Reserve Governor Elizabeth Duke delivers a speech titled “Woman and Money: Challenging the Myths” at the Consumer Credit Counseling Services of, in Philadelphia This could affect key interest rates.

Finally in the US, Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment is expected to go up from 69.5 points to 71.2 points and their Inflation Expectations would probably remain around 2.9%.

In Canada, Gross Domestic Product, released monthly, measuring the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services is expected to drop from 0.6% to 0.5%.

Although Raw Materials Price Index is expected to edge up from 0.4% to 0.9% an indicator of consumer inflation.

More in Canada, Industrial Product Price Index  for domestic products, is anticipated a hopeful rise 0.2%, from 0.0% to 0.2%.

For more on USD/CAD, read the  Canadian dollar forecast.

In Europe, Consumer Price Index Flash Estimate  based on, Eurostat energy prices and EU member states is expected to remain 1.4%. And Unemployment rate is also stable and expected stay 10%.

Also in  Europe, Italian Preliminary Consumer Price Index released monthly is expecting a drop from 0.3% to 0.2% a negligible impact on the Euro.

More from Italy, Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate is expected to rise from 8.5% to 8.6%.

In Switzerland, KOF Economic Barometer measuring the level of a composite index based on 12 economic indicators is foreseen a rise from 1.93 points to 2 points. Due to its predictive nature it can make a favorable impact on the Swiss market.

More from Switzerland, Philipp Hildebrand Governing Board Chairman of the Swiss National Bank speaks at he General Meeting of Shareholders, in Bern could affect the local currency and short term interest rates.

For more on the Euro, read the  EUR/USD forecast and Casey Stubbs’  latest analysis.

In Australia, Private Sector Credit measuring the change in the total value of new credit issued to consumers and businesses is expected to remain 0.4 %.

For more on the Aussie, read the  AUD/USD forecast.

In Japan, Average Cash Earnings, released monthly measuring the total value of employment income is expected to rise from -0.6% to -0.2% which is encouraging news for the market activity.

More from Japan, Monetary Policy Statement, from the Bank Of Japan (BOJ) and a press conference planned to occur, are likely to reveal its monetary policy and impact the currency. The Overnight Call Rate from BOJ concerning interest rate for financial institutions is foreseen to remain 0.10% and the Outlook Report fro the BOJ will provide insight on the bank’s view of economic conditions and inflation which will impact the Japanese market.

Finally in Japan, Housing Starts concerning new residential buildings that began construction is expected a rise from -9.3% to -5.6%.

That’s it for today. Happy forex trading!

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Anat Dror

Anat Dror

Anat Dror Senior Writer I conceptualize, design and create multi-lingual websites. Apart from the technical work, my projects usually consist of writing content for these sites in English, French and Hebrew. In the past, I have built, managed and marketed an e-learning center for language studies, including moderating a live community of students. I've also worked as a community organizer