Forex Daily Outlook – May 3 2010


Starting the week with a variety of events. ISM Manufacturing PMI in the USD, Labor Cost Index in New Zealand and President Axel Weber speak in Frankfurt; Let see what else awaits us this day, 

In the US, Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI); Survey released monthly of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions is expected to rise from 59.6 to 60 and influence the company’s view of the economy, while the ISM Manufacturing Prices is expected to droop down to 72.9 from 75.0.

Later in the US, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Price Index, Released monthly. Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; will probably be similar this time

More in the US, Personal Spending, released monthly, change in the total value of inflation-adjusted expenditures by consumers is expected to rise up to 0.7% from 0.3% and influence the economic health.

Later in the US, Construction Spending Released monthly. Change in the total amount builders spent on construction projects; expected to droop down from -1.3% to -0.4%

More in the US, Total Vehicle Sales monthly data reported in an annualized format; number of cars and trucks sold domestically during the previous month; expected to decrease in about 0.3%.

Finally in the US, Personal Income released monthly .Change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers expected to rise by 0.4%.

In Europe, Deutsche Bundesbank President, Weber Axel, one of the most influential members of the council speaks at the event honoring outgoing Bundesbank board members, in Frankfurt. His public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;

Also in Europe, Final Manufacturing PMI, survey of about 600 purchasing, managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions.

For more on the Euro, read the EUR/USD forecast and Casey Stubbs’ latest analysis.

In Switzerland, Schweizerischer Verband fur Materialwirtschaft und Einkauf (SVME), Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), survey of about 200 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions, expected to droop down by 1%.

In Australia, House Price Index (HPI), released quarterly, Change in the selling price of homes in the nation’s 8 state capitals; is expected to drop down to 3.2% from 5.2%, and influence the housing industry’s health.

Later in Australia, Commodity Prices, and change in the selling price of exported commodities.

Finally in Australia, Melbourne Institute (MI) Inflation Gauge, Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; a monthly look at consumer inflation and is designed to mimic the quarterly government-released CPI data.

For more on the Aussie, read the AUD/USD forecast.

In New Zealand, Labor Cost Index released quarterly, Change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding overtime is expected to rise to 0.4% and affect the leading indicator of consumer inflation.

More in New Zealand, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) Commodity Prices, released Monthly, Tends to have a muted impact.

That’s it for today. Happy forex trading!

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About Author

Anat Dror – Senior Writer

I conceptualize, design and create multi-lingual websites. Apart from the technical work, my projects usually consist of writing content for these sites in English, French and Hebrew.

In the past, I have built, managed and marketed an e-learning center for language studies, including moderating a live community of students.

I’ve also worked as a community organizer

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