Forex Today: GBP hurt by UK politics, Aussie strongest in Asia, Eurozone Sentix, Draghi’s speech eyed

Forex today opened the week with some negative political news from the UK, as three Brexit Minister resigns amid reports of a split in the UK government on the plan PM May announced at Chequers. The pound’s upside attempts were capped by the UK political uncertainty while the Euro was firmer above the 1.1750 barrier amid broad-based US dollar weakness on the back of mixed US jobs data.

Amongst the Asia-pc currencies, the Aussie was the strongest, benefiting from the rally in copper prices while the Kiwi remained better bid near 0.6850 from the risk-on market profile, as reflected by the rally in the Asian equities and higher oil prices. USD/JPY traded modestly flat, looking for direction ahead of the US CPI release due later this week.

Main topics in Asia

Over the weekend: North Korea talks backslide, Europe warns of tariff retaliation

With the US tariffs on China taking effect and the latest round of a US-China trade war in the books and in the rearview mirror, the weekend brought fresh trade concerns stemming from the US’ current trade policies, and North Korea tensions are back on the rise “¦

Senior sources confirmed Mr Davis has resigned as Brexit secretary

It is being reported that David Davis has actually resigned from Government – (Two senior sources confirmed to PA that Mr. Davis had quit).

UK’s Brexit Minister Steve Baker resigns alongside David Davis – The Telegraph

A key minister within Britain’s Brexit department has also resigned, with Steve Baker quitting his position shortly after Davis.

3rd Brexit minister resigns amid hard-line Brexiteer revolt

Suella Braverman, A Conservative MP and junior Brexit minister, has resigned from her position, bringing Monday’s total to three so far, “¦

UK PM May says disagrees with Davis’ characterization of Brexit policy

The UK Prime Minister Theresa May has said she disagrees with Davis’ characterization of Brexit policy and reiterated that parliament will regain control of Britain’s laws after Brexit, according to Reuters.  

Key Focus ahead

Today’s EUR macro calendar sees  a quiet start to a busy week ahead, with the second-liner German trade balance and Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence numbers likely to keep the EUR. GBP traders busy. Besides, the Bank of England (BOE) board member Broadbent’s speech will be closely eyed at 0750 GMT.

In the NA session, FOMC member Kahskari’s speech will be released at 1310 GMT. But the main event risk today remains the European Central Bank (ECB) President Draghi’s dual testimonies scheduled at 1300 GMT and 1500 GMT.

Draghi is due to testify about the economy, monetary policy, virtual currencies and European Systemic Risk Board before the European Parliament Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee, in Brussels.

EUR/USD: Above 50-day MA for the first time since mid-April, eyes Draghi speech

The EUR pairs could turn volatile during Draghi’s speech and the common currency may pick up a strong bid if the central bank chief sounds hawkish on interest  rates.  

GBP/USD stumbles at 1.33 as Brexit continues to fracture the UK’s parliament

The  GBP/USD  is hesitating near the 1.3300 major level as Monday’s Brexit revelations roil Sterling traders and force the GBP back down as the chasm “¦

Australian business conditions to post a solid improvement in June – ANZ

Analysts at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) provide key insights into the National Australia Bank (NAB) Business survey for Australia that will be reported tomorrow at 0130 GMT.  

The key events for the week ahead – Nomura

Analysts at Nomura explained the key events for the week ahead:

Currency Market: For the USD, it’s all about this week’s CPI

For the USD to get back on track and reverse this negative momentum, it’s all about this week’s US CPI print.