GBP: Flows & Scope Of Negative Rates; Staying Bearish – Citi

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The British pound has lost close to 3 percent in the month of May. What is the bias for the currency in the near-term?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

Citi maintains a tactical bearish bias on GBP in the near-term.

“Our base case is for rates to be stuck, but BoE is likely to keep the negative rate option more open than elsewhere should marginally weigh on GBP,” Citi notes.

Amid this we remain bearish GBP on the above and on these factors: markets underappreciate risks on Brexit (especially into the June 30 extension deadline), UK’s foreign funding needs, lockdown measures and services exposure. CitiFX Flows momentum signal suggest GBP lower as well,” Citi adds.

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Kenny Fisher - Senior Writer A native of Toronto, Canada, Kenneth worked for seven years in the marketing and trading departments at Bendix, a foreign exchange company in Toronto. Kenneth is also a lawyer, and has extensive experience as an editor and writer.