Home GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bears are showing-up deep in supply territory
FXStreet News

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bears are showing-up deep in supply territory

  • GBP/JPY is overstretched and bears are taking the reins on the lower time frames.
  • The longer-term prospects are also bearish and charts are in need of a significant correction. 

GBP/JPY is succumbing to bearish pressures as the multi-timelines are aligned and indicating a significant correction.

The following is a top-down analysis that illustrates where the next opportunity would arise on the downside. 

Monthly chart

The month is drawing to a close in a fourth consecutive month of higher highs and lows. 

The W-formation is a bearish pattern and a significant retracement, at least to the 38.2% Fibonacci that has a confluence with old resistance, would be expected. 

Weekly chart

The weekly chart is overstretched into the supply zone and a significant downside correction, in line with the W-formation on the monthly chart, would be expected. 

Daily chart

The daily chart is showing that the bulls are failing to break higher within the weekly supply area. 

A downside correction to old liquidity and resistance would have a confluence with the 61.8% Fibonacci of the latest bullish impulse. 

4-hour chart

The 4-hour chart is on the way to test old support.

A break of old support and the 21-SMA opens prospects of a downside continuation to the 61.8% Fibo of the daily bullish impulse. 

1-hour chart 

The hourly chart has already tested the support area in what would be expected to be the start of a significant and medium-term bearish correction. 

Should the price correct the recent bearish impulse from the supporting area, then a retest of prior support, or the neckline of the M-formation where a confluence of the 50% and 61% Fibos, is anticipated.  

At such a point that the price is resisted there, bears can look for a downside continuation opportunity from bearish conditions and structure for an optimal entry point on the 15-min chart.

FX Street

FX Street

FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. It was launched in 2000 and the portal has always been proud of their unyielding commitment to provide objective and unbiased information, to enable their users to take better and more confident decisions.