Analysts at Danske Bank points out that GBP was sold off yesterday on reports that UK PM Theresa May could lose the vote in the House of Commons on a pro-European EU custom union amendment.
Key Quotes
“May survived the vote last night, but GBP remained weak, with EUR/GBP trading around 0.8880 overnight. Yesterday’s sell-off in GBP came despite the release of a decent UK job report, which came in as expected and thus still supports the case for a rate hike from the Bank of England in August.”
“However, the market is already pricing in more than an 80% probability that the BoE will raise the Bank Rate on 2 August, and thus relative interest rates should provide only little support to GBP ahead of the BoE meeting. Hence, risks remain skewed to the upside for EUR/GBP near term amid political uncertainty related to Brexit.”
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