Gold: Longer-term target at top of 49-year channel at 1981.56 – Commerzbank

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Gold is trading near seven-year highs, currently at $1770, and Commerzbank’s Karen Jones is looking for the yellow metal to reach the top of the 49-year channel at 1981.56.

Key quotes

“Gold uptrend at 1735 has resumed its up move and has eroded its May high at 1765.61. This guards the 1791.16/1803.29 highs from February and October 2012 and November 2011. This area is considered to be the last defence for the 1921.50 September 2011 high. Please note there is room for an overshoot to the top of a 49-year channel at 1981 and this is our long-term target.”

“Immediate support is the three-month uptrend at 1735, but while above 1661.84 (the mid-April low), an immediate upside pressure should be maintained. Only failure here would allow for a slightly deeper retracement to 1645 and potentially 1608 (50% retracement).” 

“A longer-term positive bias will be preserved while gold trades above the 1451.45/1445.53 November and March lows.”

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