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  • Gold confirmed a bearish outside bar reversal with a close below $1,504 on Monday.
  • The daily chart MACD is about to cross below zero. That would indicate a bullish-to-bearish trend change.
  • A drop to the immediate support of $1,480 could be seen in a day or two.

Gold closed well below $1,504 on Monday, validating the bearish outside bar candlestick pattern created on Friday.

A bearish outside bar candle occurs when the price action for a specific day falls outside the high and low of the preceding day. That candlestick is widely considered a sign of indecision in the market place.

However, in Gold’s case, that pattern indicated bullish exhaustion. After all, the outside bar appeared following a near 90-degree rise from $1,400 to $1,535.

Traders usually wait for confirmation of bearish reversal, preferably in the form a close below the outside bar’s low.

As noted earlier, Gold found acceptance below $1,504 (outside bar’s low) on Monday, confirming a short-term bullish-to-bearish trend change.

Supporting the case for a drop to the immediate support of $1,480 (Aug. 13 low) is the impending bearish crossover on the moving average convergence.

The bearish case would be invalidated if prices rise above Monday’s high of $1,513. As of writing, the zero-yielding safe-haven metal is trading largely unchanged on the day at $1,495 per Oz.  

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Pivot points