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India tariff hike shows vulnerability of US trade strategy – ING

Timme Spakman, Economist, International Trade Analysis at ING Bank offers his take on the latest retaliatory tariffs announced by India against the US.

Key Quotes:

“India has decided to impose long-awaited tariffs on 28  product groups  after the US said it would  roll back a duty-free imports scheme for approximately $6 billion worth of imports from India. The tariffs came into effect on Sunday.

These  retaliatory measures show  the vulnerability of the high-pressure strategy characterized by the  current US trade policy. Not all countries will give in so easily to US demands  as, for example, Mexico did. Countries that are less dependent on trade with the US will resist, with the risk of escalating tit-for-tat tariff fights.

If it  pushes too far in negotiations with India, Japan, the EU, and China, the US could end up being the biggest loser of all.  This is because it  would then face tariffs with all its trading partners involved in the  disputes while the  EU and the other counties would  face higher tariffs only at  the US border.  

Although the measures  are, in part, a reaction to  the US withdrawing preferential market access for India, legally, these tariffs are retaliation  against the US steel and aluminum tariffs imposed last year.”

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