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MXN: Inflation may hint at less easing ahead – ING

Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING, points out that the Mexican currency is steady amongst top performers in the emerging market  space across the last few days.

Key Quotes

“Today, focus will be on June’s CPI number, with the 4% level in the year-on-year headline print to prove crucial in directing  speculation  about possible Banxico monetary easing ahead.”

“We suspect market  easing expectations (54bp priced in for the next six months) may prove excessive should inflation fail to materially surprise  to the downside. In turn, we see some scope for further MXN appreciation and expect USD/MXN to  keep  descending towards this year’s  low of  18.7544.”

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