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  • RBNZ leaves the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% as expected.
  • RBNZ Governor says rate outlook is balanced.
  •  US Dollar Index jumps to new 2019 high on Wednesday.

The NZD/USD pair rose sharply during the Asian session on Wednesday after the RBNZ announced its decision to leave the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 1.75%. Commenting on the policy and economic outlook, Governor Adrian Orr said that the risks around rates were balanced and added that the chance of a rate cut had not increased. After advancing to a fresh weekly high of 0.6852, the pair lost its traction in the second half and erased some of its early gains. As of writing, the pair was trading at 0.6795, still adding 0.83% on a daily basis.

While testifying  before the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee, in Wellington, RBNZ Governor Orr echoed yesterday’s message and didn’t offer any new comments on the policy outlook. Commenting on the market reaction to the RBNZ statement, “The reaction to today’s Monetary Policy Statement indicates that financial markets saw the missive as being more hawkish than anticipated. The NZD is up over 1.0% and the chance of a near term cut in interest rates has been significantly reduced,” said the NAB Research Team.  

In addition to the RBNZ’s optimistic outlook, hopes of the U.S. and China reaching a trade agreement even if President Trump doesn’t meet his Chinese counterpart ahead of the March 1 deadline provided an additional lift to antipodean currencies.

Meanwhile, supported by the rising T-bond yields and today’s inflation report, the US Dollar Index erased the losses it suffered yesterday and rose to its highest level since mid-December at 97.17 to force the pair to move below the 0.68 mark.

Key technical levels


       Today Last Price:  0.6795
       Today Daily change %:  0.83%
       Today Daily Open:  0.6739
       Daily SMA20:  0.6805
       Daily SMA50:  0.6791
       Daily SMA100:  0.6726
       Daily SMA200:  0.6755
       Previous Daily High:  0.6745
       Previous Daily Low:  0.6719
       Previous Weekly High:  0.6907
       Previous Weekly Low:  0.6729
       Previous Monthly High:  0.694
       Previous Monthly Low:  0.6516
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  0.6735
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  0.6729
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  0.6724
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  0.6708
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  0.6698
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  0.675
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  0.676
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  0.6776