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  • NZD/USD’s corrective rally has stalled at the 21-day MA hurdle since Oct. 4.  
  • The 4-hour chart shows an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.  
  • A break above 0.6337 would confirm an inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.  

The NZD/USD pair is currently chipping away at the 21-day moving average (MA) resistance at 0.6311.  

The MA hurdle first came into play on Oct. 4 and has proved a tough nut to crack ever since. The pair has failed twice in the last three days to close above the 21-day MA.  

Hence, it is a level to beat for the bulls. A daily close above the 21-day MA would imply a continuation of the rally from recent lows near 0.62 and expose the next resistance at 0.6451 (Sept. 9 high).  

Also, as per the 4-hour chart, the pair has created an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern with the neckline resistance at 0.6337. Acceptance above that level would confirm bullish reversal and create room for a rally to 0.6470.

Daily chart

4-hour chart

Trend: Bullish above 0.6337

Technical levels