In the view of Goldman Sachs’ Australia Chief Economist, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut Is likely but the central bank will refrain from rolling out a quantitative easing (QE) program.
Key Quotes:
“Expect a material pick-up in aggregate private demand, which will more than make up for a tapering off of public demand.
The recent turnaround in dwelling prices to help housing-related consumption growth rebound.
Moderate lift in mining investment.
RBA to cut another 25sps (take the cash rate to 0.5%).
Market talk of QE will persist but it’s unlikely at least next year.”