RBNZ’s Orr: Economic shockwaves eventually give way to vibrant economy – StuffNZ

Reserve Bank of Nw Zealand governor, Adrian Orr, has been quoted by the website StuffNZ and has said the following comments:

Adrian Orr’s quotes

• To date our ‘bubble’ has mostly included the Government, Treasury, and New Zealand’s banks, non-bank deposit takers, and insurance companies.
• We have proved we can work together for a common goal – cash-flow and confidence – at pace.
• We recognise the threat of COVID-19 to our collective well-being and have responded accordingly to ensure we address the issues at hand and reduce the impact on future generations.
• To maintain commitment to our future prosperity, we have ensured that the cost of borrowing is very low through reducing the OCR to 0.25 percent and undertaking ‘Quantitative Easing’ (QE).
• We’ve also opened up new exchange and lending facilities for our banks to use if more liquidity is needed.
• These facilities range from daily ‘open market operations’ where we ensure there is plenty of cash in the money system, through to 3 month, 1 year, and soon up to 3 year liquidity facilities.
• We can lend to banks when they can’t easily raise funds in international markets and this supports them in lending to their customers – businesses and households.
• In step with Government, Treasury, and the banks we are also assisting businesses and households directly.
• The mortgage payment deferral and business finance guarantee schemes are a collective effort to ease households’ cash demands and enable credit to flow into businesses as we all wait the Covid-19 virus out.
• The latter involves us buying Government Bonds (public debt) from banks and swapping it for cash – so that the banks can on-lend.
• This activity keeps long-term interest rates low, where we need them, as well as helping the Government to fund its own expanding activities.
• The Reserve Bank can keep monetary support going for as long as necessary through QE and other tools. New Zealand is in a globally-enviable fiscal position with significant headroom. Our activities will best ensure Aotearoa is able to prosper for generations to come.
• Banks participating in the business finance guarantee scheme have also agreed to not pay dividends to their shareholders to ensure the public money used in the finance guarantee scheme reaches its target – New Zealand businesses in need.
• Further assisting banks is the ‘capital relief’ we provided them, encouraging banks to use their rainy day funds given that it is raining.
• We insisted banks hold large capital buffers despite their considerable consternation. They can now use them as necessary.
• All of this activity is simple but not easy.
• We are all experiencing unnerving times and there are some very hard yards ahead. Some businesses will fail, unemployment will rise, and banks will at times have to judge whether a firm is illiquid or insolvent when making a financing decision.
• We will also have to make tough decisions at the Reserve Bank when it comes to a specific firm’s viability. The financial system is strong but we do not run a ‘zero failure’ regime.
• Instead we have put in place strong criteria for financial firms’ liquidity, capital, and operation capability so they can withstand most shocks.
• Looking ahead, many firms will make it through this period through working with their bankers and their own team, and understanding and utilising the Government’s significant and expanding support packages.
• Income support, mortgage relief, business lending, tax relief, and a broad range of regular welfare assistance is available and needs to be used.
• Support each other, think beyond just the next six months, and visualise the role you can and will play in the vibrant, refreshed, sustainable, inclusive New Zealand economy.
• He para i te huarahi ki tua – To carve a path forward into the future.

NZD/USD update

It has been a USD story of late and the kiwi has been drifting lower as the greenback strengthens, despite terrible data which markets are stepping over in the face of COVID-19. So long as NZ contains the virus, the currency should remain relatively sturdy in the absence of another wave of outbreaks in China while the US struggles to stop the spread of the virus and as he death toll mounts up. However, key support comes in at 0.5830 and should that give way, the downside potential is looking to a test below the 0.56 handle.