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Short term rally on crude might be over

Crude oil has been on a short term bull run from the lows at around 39.30 but let ´s not forget that we are still inside a mid-long term bear market structure (blue channel) that price is testing at the moment.

42.78 is a previous high volume area where sellers are going to be placed and longs are going to start taking profit. This will have one single effect on price: immediate bearishness. This is not a short signal by our standards, but it ´s, in fact, an area that we had flagged as a possible reversal zone.

If we look at the blue bear structure we can see that price has clearly formed a bear flag but for this flag to be active price not only has to break with it but it also has to break with the bull/bear zone of 41.70 – 41.90. In any case, we remain bearish inside this structure.

08-06-2016-WTI-FULL

Orlando Gutierrez

Orlando Gutierrez

Orlando has been involved in the markets for about six years starting up as a retail trader and now is the Head Trader at www.snipethetrade.com. Orlando has mentored a vast amount of beginner traders and sent them into the technical analysis of price action path; some of them are now part time traders making a second income for themselves. He has also collaborated with the best trading academies as a Forex Specialist and Currency Analyst. He is a strong believer in passing knowledge around to people that truly care about it, and this is why he still posts market analysis regularly on the biggest trading forums and trading schools.