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S&P 500 reversed higher on Thursday and the Credit Suisse analyst team maintains the view that the “neckline” to its “head & shoulders” base and the 38.2% retracement at 3428/18 will hold for a turn back higher.

Key quotes

“The S&P 500 reversed slightly higher on Thursday after yet again holding above the ‘neckline’ to its recently completed base at 3429/27 and the 38.2% retracement of the recent recovery at 3418/15. We therefore maintain our view that 3429/15 will provide a solid floor for the uptrend to resume.” 

“Resistance stays at 3477, above which would bullishly confirm yesterday’s session for strength back to 3516/18, then 3550, above which would trigger a move back to the 3588/97 high, which is also the upper end of its ‘typical’ extreme (15% above the 200-day average). Whilst this should clearly be respected, we look for a break in due course, with our “measured base objective” at 3653.” 

“Below 3429/15 would throw a serious question mark over the base, with support seen at 3401 next, the 63-day average. Below here would turn the risks back lower within the range and suggest further consolidation.”