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S&P 500 moved back higher late in the session on Thursday, however focus remains on the crucial 200-day average at 3024/21 as a break below here would suggest the correction can extend further, per Credit Suisse.

Key quotes

“S&P 500 reversed back higher on Thursday late in the session, moving back into its prior tight range after holding above the key 200-day average at 3024/21. However, the recent ‘island top’ and turn lower in daily MACD momentum keeps us biased towards further consolidation and likely a deeper correction lower.” 

“The 200-day average at 3024/21 remains crucial, as a close below here would confirm that a more concerted correction lower can indeed emerge, with the next support then seen at the 2966 low, before the 38.2% retracement of the entire rally from March at 2835. We will be watching closely if MACD turns outright negative and whether volume picks up should the market continue lower to determine whether or not we are dealing with a more concerted setback.” 

“Near-term resistance now moves to the 13-day exponential average at 3094, above which would neutralize the recent downside pressure and expose the next short term resistances at 3115, then the prior range top at 3153/56.”