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Turkey: CBRT likely to cut the repo rate by 175bps – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities are expecting the CBRT to cut the repo rate by 175bps to 12.25%.

Key Quotes

“This is slightly more than the consensus is expecting (-150bps), but in line with our long-held view that the MPC would continue easing until real rates return to negative, likely early in 2020.”

“We think TRY may react mildly negatively if CBRT delivers the amount of easing in line with our forecast (USDTRY could move 0.5% higher), but we think the overall market reaction will be quite shallow.”

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