Search ForexCrunch

Analysts at TD Securities note that the US June CPI modestly disappointed, with headline CPI rising 0.1% m/m while core CPI rose 0.2% m/m but on the weak side.

Key Quotes

“Inflation still managed to firm to 2.9% y/y (with core inflation hitting 2.3% y/y).”

“The small downside can be traced to weak energy services along with broad weakness in goods prices and sharp drops in a few services prices (hotels and airfares).”

“Overall, the June CPI report remains consistent with gradual normalization by the Fed while offering limited impetus for a faster pace of hikes. This should keep the Fed on track for gradual hikes (one each quarter in our view).”

“The CPI report is more noise than direction for FX markets.”

“Focus remains on global trade developments, where FX markets appear content in rewarding the USD for now.”