- DXY reverses Thursday’s pullback and move to the 98.40 region.
- Yields of the US 10-year note climb to the 1.64% area.
- Chief Powell will speak at Jackson Hole later today.
The greenback, when tracked by the US Dollar Index (DXY), is leaving behind Thursday’s negative price action and it has refocused on the upper end of the range near 98.40.
US Dollar Index now looks to Powell
The index has managed to regain buying interest following yesterday’s drop on the back of another inversion of the 2y-10y yield curve and deteriorating sentiment after the US advanced manufacturing PMI is expected to slip back into contraction territory after years (49.9).
There is no news on the US-China trade front other than new frictions and contradictions around the tech giant Huawei.
Later in the day, Chief J.Powell will speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium, although there will be no Q&A session afterwards. In the docket, New Home Sales will the sole publication later today.
What to look for around USD
The main focus this week will be on the Jackson Hole Symposium as well as on any hint on the Fed’s plan for the next months regarding interest rates and the outlook of the US economy. In the meantime, trade concerns, while still unabated and in combination with the inversion of the yield curve, carry the potential to spark further ‘insurance cuts’ by the Federal Reserve and thus undermine the constructive prospects of the buck in the next months. Opposed to this view emerges the Greenback’s safe have appeal, the status of ‘global reserve currency’, so far solid US fundamentals vs. overseas economies and the less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve (as per the latest FOMC event).
US Dollar Index relevant levels
At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.13% at 98.34 and faces the next up barrier at 98.45 (high Aug.20) followed by 98.93 (2019 high Aug.1) and the 99.89 (monthly high May 2017). On the other hand, a break below 97.95 (low Aug.21) would aim for 97.21 (low Aug.6) and then 96.99 (200-day SMA).
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