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  • WTI eases from highs, clings to small gains.
  • US Dollar Index slumps below 97 handle.
  • Soft inflation data weighs on the buck on Tuesday.

The USD/CAD pair came under a renewed bearish pressure in the second half of the day and dropped to its lowest level in nearly a week at 1.3359. As of writing, the pair was trading a couple of pips above that level, losing 0.21% on a daily basis.

Earlier in the day, the loonie gathered strength on rising crude oil prices. However, following a rally to a fresh 10-day high of $57.53, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate lost its traction. The Energy Information Administration in its latest report announced that it cut the global oil demand growth forecast by 40,000 and 20,000 barrels per day for 2019 and 2020, respectively to weigh on crude oil prices. Ahead of the weekly API stock data, the WTI is up only 20 cents, or 0.35%, on the day at $56.90.

Despite the oil’s pullback, however, the pair continued to push lower in the second half of the day as the greenback continued to weaken against its rivals with the US Dollar Index dropping below the 97 handle. The index was is now losing 0.05% at 96.92. A 1.5% drop witnessed in the 10-year US T-bond yield seems to be the primary reason behind the buck’s weakness. Earlier in the day, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that core CPI in February came in at 2.1% on a yearly basis and fell short of the market expectation of 2.2% to trigger the initial USD sell-off.

Commenting on the data, “Softer core reading emphasizes the cautious tone of central banks currently, and by extension suppressed vol and carry strategies. We note however that the USD remains the carry king within the G10, so the knee-jerk pop in the dollar bloc are unlikely to be sustained,” TD Securities analysts said.

Technical levels to consider


       Daily SMA20:  1.3268
       Daily SMA50:  1.3278
       Daily SMA100:  1.3292
       Daily SMA200:  1.3179
       Previous Daily High:  1.344
       Previous Daily Low:  1.3392
       Previous Weekly High:  1.3469
       Previous Weekly Low:  1.3275
       Previous Monthly High:  1.3341
       Previous Monthly Low:  1.3069
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  1.3411
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  1.3422
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  1.3377
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  1.3361
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  1.3329
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  1.3425
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  1.3457
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  1.3473