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  • Canadian economy contracts in December.
  • Annual core PCE in the U.S. stays unchanged at 1.9% in December.
  • Coming up: Manufacturing PMI from both Canada and the U.S.

The USD/CAD pair gained nearly 100 pips in a matter of minutes after the data published by Statistics Canada revealed that the Canadian economy contracted 0.1% on a monthly basis in December. As of writing, the pair was up 0.4% on the day at 1.3220.

Further details of the report showed that the real GDP’s annual growth rate in the fourth quarter slumped to 0.4% from 2% in the third quarter and missed the market expectation of 1.2%.  

On the other hand, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, stayed unchanged at 1.9% in December. On a negative note, personal income declined by 0.1% in January after rising 1% in December and personal spending decreased by 0.5% in December. Despite the mixed data, the US Dollar Index was up 0.05% on the day at 96.27.

Later in the session, the IHS Markit will publish the Manufacturing PMI data for Canada and the United States. Additionally, the University of Michigan will release the final reading of the Consumer Confidence Index in February  

Technical levels to watch for


       Daily SMA20:  1.3205
       Daily SMA50:  1.3321
       Daily SMA100:  1.3268
       Daily SMA200:  1.3164
       Previous Daily High:  1.3208
       Previous Daily Low:  1.314
       Previous Weekly High:  1.3294
       Previous Weekly Low:  1.3134
       Previous Monthly High:  1.3341
       Previous Monthly Low:  1.3069
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  1.3182
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  1.3166
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  1.313
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  1.3102
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  1.3063
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  1.3198
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  1.3237
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  1.3265