Home USD/CAD: Running On Empty; Where To Target? – CIBC
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USD/CAD: Running On Empty; Where To Target? – CIBC

The Canadian dollar has recorded gains in recent months against a sluggish US dollar. What is the outlook for USD/CAD at the end of Q3 and at year-end?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

CIBC Research  adopts a bullish bias on USD/CAD, targeting the cross at 1.37 by end of Q3 and 1.38 by year-end.

“The loonie received a lift alongside other majors versus the greenback in the past month, helped by firmer crude prices. But the CAD has underperformed others like the euro, and the rally is now running on empty,” CIBC notes.

The strength in CAD appears set to reverse in short order as relatively weak fundamentals are revealed, and the global economic recovery stalls, giving a safe haven bid to the USD. We see USDCAD ending the third quarter at 1.37,” CIBC adds.

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Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher - Senior Writer A native of Toronto, Canada, Kenneth worked for seven years in the marketing and trading departments at Bendix, a foreign exchange company in Toronto. Kenneth is also a lawyer, and has extensive experience as an editor and writer.