- USD/CNH’s 4-hour chart shows a bull flag, a continuation pattern.
- A flag breakout looks likely and could be followed by a move to levels above 6.80.
USD/CNH’s pullback from the April 25 high of 6.7596 has taken the shape of a bull flag on the 4-hour chart. It is a continuation pattern, which usually accelerates the preceding bullish move.
A 4-hour close above 6.7409 (upper edge of the flag) would confirm a bull flag breakout and create room for a rally to 6.8248 (target as per the measured move method). As of writing, the pair is trading at 6.7387.
A bull flag breakout looks likely as the 4-hour chart relative strength index (RSI) is already teasing a bearish channel breakout. Further, the 14-day RSI is reporting bullish conditions with an above-50 print.
What’s more, the pair violated a multi-month descending trendline last month, validating seller exhaustion near 6.80, as signaled by multiple long-tailed weekly candles.
4-hour chart
Trend: Bullish