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  • USD/CNH is flirting with the support of the trendline rising from April 2018 highs.  
  • A weekly close below the trendline would bolster the bearish setup and expose key Fibonacci support.  

USD/CNH (Offshore Yuan)  pair is currently trading near 6.9786, which is the support of the trendline connecting April 2018 and April 2019 lows.  

A close below the ascending trendline would bolster the bearish setup represented by a below-50 reading on the 14-week relative strength index, descending 5- and 10-week averages and the lower highs, lower lows setup created over the last four months.  

A weekly close below the trendline would expose support at 6.8288 (38.2% Fib R of March 2018 low/August 2019 high). That looks likely as the CNH (offshore Yuan) is expected to remain bid on  continued de-escalation of the Sino-US trade tensions.  

On the higher side, a weekly close above 7.0865 (November high) is needed to invalidate the lower highs set up and confirm a bullish reversal.  

Weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels