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  • 200-week MA, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of previous-year move limit USD/IDR declines.
  • Buyers can aim for 50% Fibonacci retracement on the break of 14,255/60.

Despite failures to sustain its bounce off 200-week moving average (MA), the USD/IDR pair refrains from declining below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its 2018 upside as it takes the bids to 14,191 on early Tuesday morning in Asia.

As a result, 14,255/60 area comprising mid-June lows can lure buyers whereas 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 14,343 may please them afterward.

Alternatively, a downside break of 14,087, including 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, sellers can aim for 13,974 and the yearly low around 13,858 ahead of targeting 200-week MA level of 13,736 during further declines.

It should also be noted that 14-bar relative strength index (RSI) seesaws in the normal region and indicates no shift in momentum.

USD/IDR weekly chart

Trend: Bullish